Who Will Win Enfield's Election?

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  A sign at October’s “No Kings” rally in Enfield captures a growing frustration across party lines that may help explain the town’s political shift: “Left or Right, We All See Wrong.” Unaffiliated voters now make up 44 percent of Enfield’s electorate. Photo by author. We don't conduct polls in Enfield, so it's hard to tell what motivates voters. Here’s a non-scientific look—a reporter's take based on registration data and recent history. Overall Election Outlook The outlook for this election remains genuinely uncertain. While the registration numbers point in multiple directions, recent history reminds us that Enfield voters are willing to surprise us. The Biggest Story: Unaffiliated Voters Widen Their Lead The main trend in Enfield isn't about Democrats or Republicans—it's unaffiliated voters solidifying their dominance. Their registrations grew 38% in ten years, from 8,695 in 2015 to 12,034. That's 3,339 new voters—exceeding both parties' combined growth...

Trump can win Enfield if Democrats stay home

Trump's steady support in Enfield means the Democrats need a strong turnout

Vice President Kamala Harris should win Enfield if -- and this is a big if -- the Democrats see a strong turnout.

Harris is expected to easily win Connecticut in November over former President Donald Trump. But Enfield is a purple town, where Trump has maintained a solid base of support, making the outcome largely dependent on Democratic turnout. Let’s look at what happened in the 2016 and 2020 presidential races.


In 2016, Trump won Enfield, receiving 9,238 votes, and slightly increased his total to 9,298 in 2020. These results indicate that Trump's support in Enfield remains remarkably steady.


In 2016, Hillary Clinton received 8,548 votes. In 2020, Biden benefited from a much stronger Democratic turnout. He won Enfield with 11,263 votes—a notable increase of 2,715 votes.


Assuming Trump’s base remains steady, Democrats will once again need a strong turnout to win in November. If Democratic voters don’t show up in large numbers, Trump could win Enfield.